Okay, so I said I was going to stick to side games. I'm just better at them. but after trying the week of tournament poker only, my preflop poker has dramatically improved, and I found a new outlet for my tournament poker degeneratum. I am a sick gambler and keep coming back to Stars like a crack addict. I found out that Stars had a new set of tournaments, deep stacks! 30 min. blinds, 5k in starting chips, blinds starting at 10/20. What more could you want? So, I registered for a Pot limit hold'em tournie.
Things went very very very very very very slow for the first two levels. I had literally no pairs, and the best 3 hands I had preflop were: AJo, ATo, and KTo. Sick. But because of the blind structure, I could hang around and had about 4.6k at the end of the second level. After the first break, I started picking up some hands, and by about 150/300 I had about 18-20k in chips. I think I was about 9th in chips. Then this hand came up:
The BB is sitting out.
Hero [QcJd] raises in middle pos. to 750
Player to immediate left flat calls.
blinds fold.
Flop [Kh Th 3d] pot: 1950
Hero bets 1000
player raises the pot (about 3.7k).
Hero calls.
Turn [Kh Th 3d] [Jh] pot: 11850
Hero checks.
Player bets the 3000.
Hero raises the pot and moves in (about 12k).
Player calls and shows [Ks Ts]
River is a blank and I lose.
Here's what I was thinking, and why I'm an idiot. Preflop raise is a little unorthodox, considering my positioin, but the BB was dead, so I can raise from earlier positions. My flop bet continuation is standard. When the player to my left raises the pot, I feel like he's hitting the pedal to the metal with AK or AA or TT or 33, and if I can spike a card he'll pay me off bigtime. Betting/raising the pot from this player usually meant he didn't stop usually no matter what came, unless it was a scary scary card. So, I'm calling the 3.7k bet to get the rest of his chips (about 13k). The turn comes the third heart, and when he bets less than his flop bet, he's fearing the hearts. So, game plan out the window here, and I just bluff w/ outs if he does call.
Here's why I'm an idiot, and that a dumb bluff. Considering his position preflop, he is not calling to defend a dead blind. He, more than likely has a legitimate hand, a pair or two big cards. My play until the turn, I feel is fine, when the turn comes, and I throw my original plan out the window, is where I get stupid. This player was more likely to just fold on the flop, if he missed, rather than trying a re-steal. Based off my read, he didn't have a flush already. Now, if he has the hand that I think he has, two big cards, he has almost the same hand I have, plus he could have the nut flush draw w/ Ah Ks, or a hand similar, Kc Qh, or even a two pair hand, like Kc Jc. In all of these cases, he either is pot commited (almost always) has to call the check-raise on the turn, or just won't fold two pair. Considering the range of hands he had in this spot, he wasn't laying down most of them, and only a small percentage of the time would fold two black cards that made two pair here. Even if I was right and he did fear hearts, he has to call most of the time, and when someone is going to call you most of the time in any spot where you're bluffing, that's a bad spot to bluff.
It's a better bluff if I have the Qh. That eliminates the chance that he has it, and the only hearts he could hold and is the Ah.
'Till next time, I hope I run better...